Brainstorm Team Finance Assingment Help With Solution

Your Assignment

To develop an effective model, you should rely on your business knowledge, your previous course work, your intuition and the expertise of your colleagues. In addition, your financial management textbook (Chapter 4) provides a lucid explanation of important financial ratios.

In developing your model, please follow this sequence:

1) Brainstorm with your team. Each ratio attempts to measure some dimension of a firm’s financial health. What dimensions of financial health do you want to assess? What ratios will effectively measure those dimensions?

2) Examine the attached list of financial ratios (Exhibit 1). These ratios are included in the EXCEL file called bankrupt.xls. If a ratio that you which to use is not available, try to identify a reasonable substitute.

3) Choose at least six financial ratios that you believe will help predict bankruptcy two years in advance. Make your choices without examining the data. Rely on your financial expertise and intuition.

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You might consider one of the following widely used ratios:
R9 current ratio
R14 return on assets
R21 debt to assets
R26 return on equity

4) A ratio will strengthen your model only if it discriminates between failing firms and surviving firms. For each ratio you have chosen, compare its distribution for failing firms with its distribution for surviving firms. You could accomplish this by comparing descriptive statistics, graphing the distributions and/or testing for a difference between the means of the distributions. (Hint: Use EXCEL.) Would you recommend that the ratio be used in a model for predicting bankruptcy?

5) Estimate the linear correlations between your chosen ratios. Can you interpret these correlations? Note: If two ratios are highly correlated, they may be measuring the same underlying dimension of financial health. Because they are redundant, you may not need both of them in your model.

6) Finalize your model. Based on your financial knowledge and analysis, choose four (or five) ratios which, working together, could predict corporate bankruptcy. Be prepared to defend your model by presenting selective evidence (statistics, graphs, logical argument, etc.).

Writing Assignment

1) Present and defend your final model. Use logical arguments and evidence to explain why your chosen ratios should help predict corporate bankruptcy. Include at least two exhibits to support your case.

2) Discuss the limitations of your model. What financial metrics would you include in a more refined model, if they were available?

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