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International Finance
 
Introduction: This exercise will walk you thru collecting and analyzing data from a company’s annual report, Moody’s, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, etc. to investigate the factors involved with doing business internationally.
 

1. Go to http://www.annualreports.com and look up the most recent annual report for Chevron. Use this report to answer the following questions
 
a. Where is the firm based?
b. What countries does it operate in? Your answer should distinguish between “upstream” and “downstream” and define the terms.
c. Based on your reading of the annual report, why did Chevron “Go Global” (raw materials, market seeking, cost minimization etc.)?
 
2. Choose 2 countries, one upstream and one downstream where Chevron operates. The following steps will walk you thru conducting a basic analysis of the economic and political risks involved with operating in this country.
 
a. Get an overview of the country’s current domestic, economic and geopolitical situation
 
i. Go to https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/
 
b. What is the exchange rate? Has it been stable over time?
 
i. Go to http://www.usforex.com/currency-converter
 
• What is the country’s currency?
 
a. What is the current(spot) exchange rate with the US dollar?
b. What was the exchange rate with the US dollar 5 years ago?
 
i. Has the currency appreciated or depreciated relative to the US dollar?
ii. Calculate the percentage appreciated or depreciated relative to the US dollar.
 
c. How might these currency fluctuations (if there have been any) have impacted Chevron’s activities in the past and potentially in the future?
 

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c. Examine the economic state of the country
 
i. What is the market’s perception of the risk associated with doing business in or with this country?
• Go to https://www.moodys.com/
 
o What is the current rating of your country’s government and/or central bank?
o Under “Research and Ratings” click “Market Segment” then choose “Sovereign & Supranational’. (You may need to create a free account to do this)
 
o Scroll to midpage and click the “organizations” tab and view all. You can alphabetize the list to make things easier.
• What does this rating mean and how might this affect Chevron’s activities within this country?
 
o Ratings definitions can be found here: https://www.moodys.com/sites/products/AboutMoodysRatingsAttachments/MoodysRatingsSymbolsand%20Definitions.pdf
 
ii. What is the country’s GDP?
 
• Go to : http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD/countries?display=default
• (refer to the table for GPD number) How does this compare with neighboring countries? (refer to the map)
 
• Click on the country name for more detailed analysis. What do these numbers tell you about the state of the economy in this country? Why is this important to Chevron?
 
iii. What type of exchange rate system does the country have (Fixed, pegged, free float etc.)?Be sure to define this and discuss its impact on the exchange rate relative to the US dollar. How might this affect Chevron’s activities within this country?
 
• https://www.imf.org/external/np/mfd/er/2008/eng/0408.htm
 
iv. Is this country part of any international trade agreements?If so how does this affect Chevron’s activities within this country?
 
• http://aric.adb.org/fta-country
 
vi. What tariffs (if any) are involved inChevron’s activities within this country?
 
• http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_bis_e.htm?solution=WTO&path=/Dashboards/MAPS&file=Tariff.wcdf&bookmarkState={%22impl%22:%22client%22,%22params%22:{%22langParam%22:%22en%22}}
o Click on the country name for a detailed description of tariffs. How do these tariffs affect Chevron?
 
d. Examine the political state of the country
 
i. Based on the World Bank’s analysis how does each country fair with respect to
 
• Go to http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.aspx#countryReports
• Voice & Accountability
 
• Political Stability and Absence of Violence
• Government Effectiveness
• Regulatory Quality
• Rule of Law
 

 

*Be sure to define each of these categories- Howmight these ratings affect Chevron’s activities within this country?
 
e. Is there any recent news that could affect Chevron’s activities in the country or the political or economic conditions of the country its self?
 

Present your findings in a clear and concise report focusing on the costs, risks and benefits of Chevron’s doing business in these countries. Be sure to answer all italicized questions. Are there any recommendations that you would make based on your findings?
 
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